[kaby]

[ QUOTE ]
I expect villain to give up or bluff smaller

[/ QUOTE ]

I strongly disagree with this.

If he bluffs 60% pot = 71$, we have to fold 37% of the time for him to break even.
If he bluffs 70% pot = 83$, we have to fold 41% of the time.
If he bluffs 80% pot = 95$, we have to fold 44% of the time.
If be bluffs pot, we have to fold 50% of the time.

Now tell me what bets you are more inclined to call. You are probably snapcalling 60-70% pot bets, and I think a 80% pot bet gets called substantially more than a potbet, so if I was a LAG I'd bluff pot here.

So if he's a good LAG, he's definitly betting pot here imho. If he's a bad LAG, he'd bluff less but he'd also valuebet less imho. I call.