Re: Flop spot
Here is a stove with some guesses on ranges. Hand 1 is SB, which is a fairly tight coldcapping range. Hand 0 is UTG. I figure he will play any overpair+ made hand this way, as well as big clubs. Adding or subtracting a few flush draws does not seem to dramatically affect our equity. I also threw in a couple AKo hands cuz I'm sure hands like that are at least a possibility.
Anyway, I still think we should continue, but I'm torn between coldcalling and 3betting. I think we will get pretty reliable information about SB's hand by coldcalling, allowing us to make a prudent fold on the turn. However, given the pot size, it would be excellent to push him off a big ace with no club by 3betting, and we'd still get pretty reliable information for the turn.
Board: 8c 3c 5s
Dead:
equity win tie
Hand 0: 50.432% 49.52% 00.91% { 88+, 55, 33, AcKc, AcQc, AcJc, AhJh, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac5c, Ac4c, Ah4h, KcQc, KcJc, KcTc, QcJc, QcTc, JcTc, AcKd, AcKh, AcKs, AdKh, AdKs }
Hand 1: 29.895% 29.20% 00.70% { 88+, AJs+, KQs, AQo+ }
Hand 2: 19.673% 19.07% 00.60% { ThTs }
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