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Old 11-21-2007, 04:37 PM
Insistent_ Insistent_ is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 233
Default Do I have the odds to go with this failed semi-bluff pre-flop?

This is in Swedish SEK. It is equivalent to 0.25/0.50 $.
I haven't played a hand for 3 or 4 rounds so I raised to represent AAxx and possibly get some more bluff equity on the flop. Since hands are so close in value I thought it was okay.

After skiteris call and Pjssons raise, I think it's pretty clear that he has what I was trying to represent - AAxx. My assumption is that I have something like close to 40% against him. With a third guy in maybe 30% (this is up to debate).

Can I call the first raise here with the odds I am given and the dead money in the pot?? What is the exact calculation for this?

Should I maybe assume the third player to call?? I think he has to with the type of hand he should have here (a drawing hand often). If he doesn't the money he looses by not playing must theoretically go into Pjssons pockets and possibly (if I choose to play) into mine. Right?

Also, if I really WAS going to play here, was it a good play just to cold call hoping to get away from some disaster flops and assume that Pjsson would be pot commited almost always? An Axx flop wouldn't be that hard to let go of often for example.

A lot of questions. I hope someone has the time to elaborate on this. Thanks and best regards!

2.50/5.00 Omaha (PL) - 11/21/2007 9:07:18 PM
Diana 32 (Vanlig/Cash Game)
Seat 1: Don_corleo (758.81)
Seat 2: Pjsson (456.91)
Seat 3: HERO (369.28)
Seat 4: skiteri (296.03)
Seat 5: magnus21 (521.03)
skiteri Pays SB 2.50
magnus21 Pays BB 5.00
** Dealing cards **
Don_corleo [N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A]
Pjsson [N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A]
HERO [9s, 7s, Qc, 9c]
skiteri [N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A]
magnus21 [N/A, N/A, N/A, N/A]
*** Bet Round 1 ***
Don_corleo Fold
Pjsson Raises to 17.50
HERO Raises to 60.00
skiteri Calls 60.00
magnus21 Fold
Pjsson Raises to 245.00
HERO Calls 245.00
skiteri All-in 296.03
Pjsson Calls 296.03
HERO plays for it all with fingers crossed
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