Re: No pumpkin pie from Vegas
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Okay so the line should be Green Bay -7 right?
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I think there is value in GB -3 / 3.5 .... -5/-6/-7 all seem like more appropriate lines.
Anybody else agree/disagree...
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Agreed - and the point I was trying to make along with offering some reasoning for why I feel this way.
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That's where it comes from. If you agree with -7 being an appropriate line when GB is playing Detroit IN DETROIT, then based on average HFA it translates to GB being a -13 favorite at home. HFA is worth 3 points over a neutral field.
This isn't even taking into account the even greater advantages (or maybe not, educate me) of Lambeau field and taking the Lions out of a dome.
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