[Kaj]

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If the U.S. doesn't join WWII...there is certainly a non-zero possibility that the USSR would have won the cold war (control of Japan) and, of course, a non-zero chance that we would all be speaking German right now.

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If I would have played 27o against my opponents aces all in, I would have hit 2 pair.

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Awesome a poker analogy. This is what soldiers go to war to die for, our right to relate their deaths to poker.

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No they go to war to prevent every bad event with non-zero probability from occurring, right?