Re: Shove or CRAI River with monster?
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Villain just can't be calling 3 bets here without being a complete donk esp a decent sized value bet.
In this situation I like a bet of $45. I can't see villain calling anything larger than this often enough with a weaker hand. This amount may also induce a bluff raise by villain.
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River pot is $108 and we have ~ $102 left. If I am betting this river, then I am shoving like 100% of the time. Does anyone disagree?
My reasoning would be that a shove represents the widest range of hands, and will extract the most value. If villain is calling $70 then he is most likely calling a shove as well.
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I love a shove, and I hate any other play. Any hand he is betting on the river, he is calling a shove with, since betting the river any amount gives him amazing odds to call a push, unless he is bluffing the river, which he is never doing. He will check behind weak Ax hands if you check.
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