Re: Flopped trips
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Lots of people are advocating raising for value on the flop. Anyone care to estimate how much more value we get out of raising as opposed to calling?
If raising reduce the amount of callers to half in comparison to the number that'd only call 1 bet, then calling and raising has the same expected value. Only difference is our risk/reward ratio.
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If you're trying get a mathematical proof that calling is better than raising, you're going to be disappointed. There are too many variables to track. For example, calling allows a hand like A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]x/K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]x/Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]x and on to peel one off on the flop with an overcard (or two) and a backdoor flush draw. If you raise now, you shut out the backdoor flush draw (or make that hand pay far too much to peel one off).
You also have to wonder whether raising now will give you action now against a hand like 99/88/7x that might slow down if an AKQJT falls on the turn.
I stand by my initial assessment, which is that raising now is probably best, but slowplaying here isn't a disaster. And a lot hinges on whether you think BB is going to be betting the turn.
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