Re: NL25 AK preflop in limp+raise+call pot, NLHTAP concept
[ QUOTE ]
You lose value by doing that. Normally the only thing that will call that is JJ, QQ, KK, AA or AK....Given that range, I don't think that's ever a profitable play unless you know that the villain WILL call with a weaker ace.
[/ QUOTE ]
It's not so much about what villain WILL call with but with which hands villain WILL NOT call.
If you manage to make villain lay down or QQ or JJ, you have won 3$ uncontested, if he calls you with one of those hands you are basically racing what is not too bad if you don't have a problem with variance. Just raising here includes the risk to lose more money if hero gets called and either does not spike an A or a K and has to give up after the CB or maybe even spikes an A or a K and QQ or JJ can easily get away from their hand.
So, to sum this up: I think I like this as a mix up play but I really think that some stats or reads in OP would have helped here: if MP3 is like 24/14 this is def ok, but if he is like 12/9 then I'm really not sure...
|