Re: From Scotty Nguyen poker challenge main event
There's 18800 in the pot, it's 7550 more to call, you need 28.6% equity for this to be cEV neutral. Against a range of {overpairs, sets, AT, flush draw with 2 overs, OESFD}, you have 27.145%, which makes it a marginal spot. If there's doubt about whether Villain would be doing this with a big draw, then it's probably a fold. By C/R'ing the flop, you create the potential to play a huge pot where you're significantly behind when the money goes in. I'd 3bet pre, and as played definitely c/c the flop.
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