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Old 11-20-2007, 02:47 PM
Sushiglutton Sushiglutton is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Searching for fish
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Default Re: top two in huge pre-flop capped pot

The first flop call is a lot closer than it looks like. BB donking out makes me put him on TT+, maybe AsKs. We know it's going to be raised behind us since we know MP3 holds AA-KK. Our best case scnario is that both of them hold AA-KK(because otherwise our outs will be tainted), but then it will be at least 3-bets. I can't make an other conclusion than that we need to fold the flop to the first donk


Turn is also close. There will often be a hand like QQ-JJ
out there so we don't have 4 outs on average. n the other hand I think MP3 will never fold and BB will rarely 3-bet so we are often getting 23:2. We will get ~4bb on the river if we spike it. 13.5:1. Hmmm close one. I hostly beleive foldng is slightly better, but I would probably peel.
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