Re: 1/2 live 10-10
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Given the read that they are pretty solid players they're not going to call your push with a worse hand. And calling is out, so I fold.
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As for button, he's committed vs. hero (it's only $65 more), so even if he has a hand like A9 or A7 he's most likely calling. And 88,55,66 is going to be conflicted as well.
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Wow, very good point. Didn't realize it would only be $65 more if you pushed, so he would call with worse hands. A LOT of worse hands. I think this swings the answer to push.
I'd say it's close though and wouldn't find too much fault with folding.
Hmm...Just ran the equity calculation. I put villain on:
A7s, A9, T8s, 97s, 98s, 86s, 65s, 55+
Hero is 51% favorite. So unless I missed a part of his range, I guess the answer is push.
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But I don't know if button knows hero knows it's push/fold, and is putting him to that tough decision with an inferior hand.
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At this point in my poker career, I'm not even beginning to consider higher level thinking like this. It's possible that this guy is, but I doubt it.
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