Re: flat calling with quads on the river
Right. How freaking stupid of me. I discarded button's own investment even though he's only getting half his bet back. I might actually delete my post completely.
But I think you and I came to the same general conclusion. Because he knows he can't be tied and quartered for the high, he may as well raise. If he raises, he at least gets a chance of forcing a scoop.
Here's one way to look at it: if he calls, he sets a ceiling on his EV, whereas if he raises he sets a floor.
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