[JDesab]

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There's a small nugget of truth in that post though. He's so close to the fact that the more times PA runs it the more confident he can be that he'll end up winning. IE. the more its run the lower the variance.

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look .. it's simple. you let a person have more than one chance there's better odds that they'll suck out on you. over a hundred trials you should win 77 and lose 23. but we all know that in any group of one hundred trials.. you could win only 65 and lose 35. and... it's even possible for you to lose 51 and win 49. very very very unlikely but that's the thing with random activities. it could happen. so, what i was saying was that it was smart for PA to choose the number 3. you can't expect gold to hit the boat two out of three times but it is possible for him to hit 1 out of 2. if gold gets lucky 1 out of two times antonius makes nothing (very very little) ... if it goes as expected and antonius wins 2 out of 3 .. or 3 out of 3... antonius has thereby increased his chances of making a profit on the hand. antonius was somewhere around 75 to 77% to win this hand. not a lock by any stretch.

my post was actually giving antonius praise. and was mocking those of you that are obvious fanboys that were still exploring the possibility that antonius had made some form of mistake.