Re: too big to back out?
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You are not getting sufficient odds to draw to a weak two pair and a bdfd. 7 to 1 basically requires you to have 12.5% chance (which translates to roughly 3 outs). For the bdfd I give you 1.5 outs, half an out for two pair and another half out for trips. 2.5 outs makes it very close, but considering the reverse implied odds (the betting on the turn) makes this a fold.
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Something does not smell right with this. 7-1 odds usually dictate 6-ish outs to call.
Oh, you're going flop-to-river by the Rule Of Four (12.5% winning chances = ~3 outs). That's wrong because Hero's not all-in and will certainly face more bets.
In fact, that's the reason why Hero should fold the flop here: he's not closing the action. Having action behind you is an odds reducer because you have no idea whether the initial flop bettor will three-bet it. And if the raiser caps, you're in a world of [censored].
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