Re: Should I have folded AA here?
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I disagree with the other posters. His most likely hand is a pocket pair below the kings - probably a mid pair like 77. If he had the King or a FH, why would he go all in after you showed weakness? Why not make a value bet that you could call? He is trying to scare you off the pot. Easy call.
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You realise he's going allin for nearly 4 times the pot right? People don't move in for 4 times the pot on bluffs when they might be winning the pot anyway.
The key to this hand is to look at the difference between hands that fold to a pot size bet and hands that fold to the massive overbet. The only hands that will call a pot size bet and fold to a larger bet are AA, AQ and maybe QJ. With such a small number of hands folding to the larger bet, it doesn't make sense for him to risk so much to run his bluff. It does however make sense for him to make the huge bet with a crushing hand; you only need to have a hand that can call the massive bet (say JT or 99) a few times to make up for the value you lose by folding out AA and AQ. Plus he probably doesn't put you on AA or AQ since at this level a lot of people will wrongly bet the turn with those hands.
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