Re: river bluff against flush draw
I'd say with a VPIP + WtSD ratio like this villan is probably only going to SD with a pair (however poor) and A high at best. This river is a bluff against a calling station when all he needs is one of 15 of 47 remaining cards in the deck. The only hands that you beat are A6- or 8 high.
That said I would expect him to bet out at you with any piece of that board given an AF of 0.75 with a VPIP of 78.
Not a value bet I'd be too keen to make.
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