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Old 11-18-2007, 07:15 PM
Alobar Alobar is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: spite shoving minraises
Posts: 17,702
Default Re: I flipped 100 coins

[ QUOTE ]
Okay I've got a math question I was thinking about recently but am not smart enough to figure out my self (plz don't make fun if it's really easy).

Let's say I play blackjack and I am 49% to win every hand. If I played blackjack every weekend for 2 hours for the rest of my life, what would my chances at being a winner at the end be (if you need the figures, which you probably don't, let's assume I average 50 hands per hour and play 4000 hours in my life)?

I guess the answer is 49% but that doesn't seem right.

[/ QUOTE ]

I dunno what the actual answer is, cuz I suck at math. but the reason guessing 49% is wrong, is because the more hands you play the closer your win % gets to being 49, meaning the % chance of you being an overall winner approaches 0% (since you are losing 51% of the time). Your chance of being a winner after 1 hand is 49%
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