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Old 11-18-2007, 01:41 PM
Pokey Pokey is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Using the whole Frist, doc?
Posts: 3,712
Default Re: Flopped set gross river

Atch, the heartbreak of it all. You know this is a fold. You KNOW this is a fold. The guy is as passive as they come but he's woken up to bet this river. Maybe he's making a scared bet with his 33. Maybe he's trying to extract value with his Q4. Maybe he thinks you're splitting with his A9. Whatever it is, it beats you the overwhelming majority of the time. You obviously can't raise. Calling gives you 5-to-1 odds, so you only have to be best 17% of the time or so. With many players you could probably make that call as a VERY crying call. With this guy, I just don't see it as a profitable choice.

Now, I fully admit that your read is thin, but hey -- your hand just got completely torpedoed. Chalk it up to yet another loss from bad cards and bad position and fold.
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