Re: lagging it up
Well if 88/JTs/AJo is in his range I completely agree it is a no brainer call.
Assuming neutral implied odds and no free river it should be pretty easy to figure out how wide his range need to be for a call to be correct.
Hero needs about 3.9 outs on average to make the call correct assuming neutral implied and no free card.
3.9 outs is the same as 16.8% eq.
These are Hero's eq vs various ranges
99+,AJs+,KQs,AQo+: 13.5%
88+,ATs+,KJs+,AJo+,KQo: 15%
Discounting a little bit:
88+,7c7d,7c7h,7d7h,6c6d,6c6h,6d6h,5c5d,5c5h,5d5h,A Ts+,KJs+,KcTc,KdTd,QcJc,QdJd,QcTc,QdTd,JcTc,JdTd,T c9c,Td9d,AJo+,KQo:
18%
To peel you either need to get free cards, have positive implied or be up against what I would call a non-standard capping range for small stakes.
In a LAGGY 15 game I think its fine. In a 2/4 game you need a good read IMO. Villain must be bad or a LAG. Against an ABC TAG its no good and I dont care what Schneids think.
Against me you should peel
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