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Old 11-18-2007, 06:25 AM
CharlieDontSurf CharlieDontSurf is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2006
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Default Re: possible reason arod signed early?

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As I said in the pre opt out days, if A-Rod opts out, it's a disaster for both the Yankees and A-Rod. That's nearly what happened, although both have come to their senses and are trying to get a deal done. Regardless, this is a clear loss for, the Yankees, A-Rod, and Boras.

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How is it a loss for Arod or Boras, though? Boras got his client a deal that will pay him until he's 42 at possibly the highest salary in the league. Did anybody really think he would get 30-35 million a year? I don't know that much about baseball contracts but that seems like a very unrealistic number.

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uh yes.it would have been very possible for Boras to get the yankees up to 10 years 300 million pre-opt out. Hell the extra 20-30 million from texas is an extra 2-3 million per year. now in the grand scheme of things who cares about a extra 30 million when yr getting 270 million...but in strictly agent/negotiating sense...this was a key mistake by Boras....especially since he also made his client look bad in the process of opting out.

given what the market ended up looking like for Arod...the only chance of this happening was in the 10 days pre opt

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How do you know this though? If there was no market after he opted out, why would there be one that frightened the Yankees so before? You seem adamant that all of the sudden the market changed but why? The only thing that changed was that Boras came out and said he wanted a 350 million deal. The Yankees clearly know enough to know that, even though there are some stupid teams out there, no one was going to give him that deal.

A-Rod is 32, plays 3b and likely can't go back to SS. His "chocking" in the play offs would likely have mattered to the teams stupid enough to pay the 350 million. He was never going to make 30-35 million per and Boras knew it. At least that's my opinion.

Edited to add, aren't there some incentives in this proposed contract that would bump it up to around 300 mill anyway?

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because only the Yankees could inflate the market...if its Giants vs. Angels arod isnt getting 270 million. but if its LA + SF + NYY + plus a couple of pretenders he could get well above it.

The Yankees assumed that if he went into the market Boras would use the other teams to make his price go up to something nutty. I don't they were convinced that this would happen but it was certainly possible and they wouldnt have taken the chance and given Arod what he wanted-see posada/rivera. So Arod probably could have gotten 10 years: 300 plus revenue from HR 800 etc.

Why do i think this? because the yankees were fully prepared to give Arod 275 for 10 years. add a bit more per year given Arod has more leverage pre opt out + 21 or 30 million and you've got a better contract.

The bigger question is why did the Yankees agree to do 275 for 10 when they could have easily done 250-10 etc given the lack of a market for Arod post opt out

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So you believe the Yankees offered A-Rod a 300 million dollar deal in the period of time between the end of the season and his opt out and that Boras subsequently rejected it? You still haven't really explained why there would be a market before and not after, unless you believe that when the Yankees said they will not negotiate with A-Rod, every other team decided to low ball him. And if this is the case, why would they offer him the 300mill deal in the first place? Cashman is pretty bright and likely would have seen this coming. There would be no incentive for the Yankees to offer such a deal if they knew that they could single handedly destroy any market for A-Rod. I just don't think the 300-350mill deal was ever going to happen, pre opt out or post.

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OMFG...god this is so basic, no wonder the WGA couldnt figure this out either uhhh

Situation A: Arod opts out. Post opt out there is not much demand for Arod. The market is cold. The Yankees know this because they saw it happen.

Situation B: the Yankees have 10 days before Arod opts out to agree on a contract extension. The Yankees have 21 million from Texas already added free of charge towards contract. The Yankees decide to say that the next 10 days is all or nothing, if Arod opts out he won't be a Yankee because the Yankees wont negotiate. The market for a 3rd baseman is barren and the Yankees need Arod.

Pre-opt out the Yankees did not know the above would happen with the free agent market and Arod. They could have possibly guessed it but they couldn't know with certainty that it would end up that way.


Which of the two above situations does Arod have the most leverage to force the Yankees to keep increasing their offer? Which of the two situations would u prefer to be in if your an agent with Arod as a client and you want to get the biggest contract out of the Yankee's possible?

Note: If you choose A your a [censored] moron.
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