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By the turn I assume he has either 78s or 6's or 9's with about 10% moron factor playing low stakes. Is the river raise bad?
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I used a 20% moron factor along with your ranges and this is our equity on the turn and then again on the river:
Results from http:\\
www.HoldEmRanger.com
2,112 evaluations, 48 hole card combos
Board: 5c 9d 6h 2h
Wins Ties Equity
80.44% 0.00% 80.44% ( TT(20),99,66,87s )
19.56% 0.00% 19.56% ( 55 )
Results from http:\\
www.HoldEmRanger.com
48 evaluations, 48 hole card combos
Board: 5c 9d 6h 2h 2d
Wins Ties Equity
53.57% 0.00% 53.57% ( TT(20),99,66,87s )
46.43% 0.00% 46.43% ( 55 )