Thread: AA...a new leaf
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Old 11-18-2007, 12:41 AM
joseki joseki is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 455
Default Re: AA...a new leaf

This is the first time I've ever made a fold like this. I haven't stacked off to a set in a while, so it's not tilt. I'm really tired, so maybe that's part of it.

He might be holding a suited T but I think he'd make a bigger raise or just call most of those. Certainly in his range, but must be discounted some. The min-raise invites a committing 3bet, or hopes for a free turn (76s, ATs, etc.). When he bets the turn I think he has a set or 76 far more often than AT.

Board: Tc 6d 5h 4h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 63.603% 63.60% 00.00% 1931 0.00 { AhAs }
Hand 1: 36.397% 36.40% 00.00% 1105 0.00 { JJ-44, AQs-AJs, AhTh, AsTs, KQs, QJs, JhTh, JsTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s }

I'm getting something like 1:1.6 if it goes in. Meh, I don't know, just thought I'd see what others thought.
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