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Old 11-17-2007, 05:04 PM
kyro kyro is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[ QUOTE ]
Anyone have thoughts on Bengals -3? On paper, they're probably about even with the Cardinals on a neutral field so the line may not seem off. But the home/road splits are pretty drastic for both teams, and Arizona has one of the biggest HFAs in terms of DVOA as well. The Cardinals have also played a weakass schedule. Plus, it's only been one game, but the Bengals offense looked a lot more dangerous against the Ravens with Chris Henry back.

That said, the Bengals have been quite overrated in the last couple of years and the Cardinals defense is underrated. So I don't think there is a huge edge at -3, but a bet-able one at least.

[/ QUOTE ]

-3 seems like way too fair of a line. Much larger edges in the week than this game, imo. It's one of the 5-6 I'm not playing.
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