Re: $3/$6 B&M face tough river decision
I'd fold 87 preflop. If it were suited, I'm definitely calling, though, since suited connectors play well multiway.
Lead flop. You have a double gutshot in a large, limped field. Bet for value.
Turn looks good.
If your read is really this good on the river, then it's a fold. You're getting 11.5:1 and would need to be getting 20:1+ to make this a profitable call when he has the nuts 95% of the time.
I do question whether a read could ever be this good, though. And if there's even just a 3.7% margin of error in your read (i.e., if Bob only has the nuts 91.3% of the time instead of 95% of the time), then it could be a profitable call...
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