[Specialwon]

You obviously had some sort of read, so obv. go with that, But, I don't think the stats or the board support that read, they say you should value bet at least the first 2 streets. You look somewhat beat by the river but it's too late to fold when you are getting more than 2:1

I'm not sure about the river, I think I prefer b/f. His AF is not so high that you risk getting blown off the hand with worse. Big pairs will probably call a bet but check behind if allowed to. So, I bet for maybe 15 or so on the river, fold to a push.