Re: JJ vs EP raiser all in on flop
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He does have 29% vs. 99+, but if you take out TT, then he has closer to 11%.
So the question isn't his range anymore. It's just "Would he do this with TT?" If so, then you're 30% vs. his range. If not, then you're drawing to 2 outs.
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I agree that my range my not be accurate [though i do think that a lot of players, particulary those playing short, shove TT here], but we can't realistically put him on a range here because we don't know anything about the opponent. I was just demonstrating that against an unknown, we're good enough to call enough of the time here against a pretty tight range.
fwiw, i think it's pretty weak folding this against an unknown, a lot of players are bluffing a lot here.
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