Re: 250 BB 50/100 HU Tricky River Spot
The problem with folding is that if we put AA/AQ in villains range, you have to at least say that 33/99 are going to be a decent part of his range. There's also one more Q9 you split with, Q3 if he's that sorta dude.
You took a really wierd line for either AA or AQ. The main problem is just you don't know how much this guy is actually thinking about that sort of thing; his line looks a lot like "I has the nuts, I push". I don't think this is a straight up bluff very often at all, you just have to figure out how often "the nuts" is actually not as good as what you have here.
There are 3 AA, 3 AQ, 3 99, 2 Q9, 3 Q3, 3 33.
Pot is laying you a decent but not great price, try to figure out how often he has those, how often that he has those he plays it this way, etc.
Seems close, I guess I like a fold and "wait for a better spot"... hopefully this guy goes on tilt if he did have AA here.
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