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Old 11-16-2007, 03:15 PM
budblown budblown is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
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Posts: 450
Default Re: Shannon Shorr thinking of quitting ...

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But if they are not around for the long term (which is the lifetime of poker, not the player) how can you know if they would be a long term winner. Also, in order to be a long term winner you would need to consider every hand of poker that has ever been played which is in the trillions (probably more but I'm not sure what comes after trillions). What hands a player plays in their lifetime is still only a short term sample and therefore you can't say that someone is a long term winner.

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This (particularly the bolded part) is incorrect.

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It's not incorrect until somebody proves why it's incorrect.

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Partially because you're the only one who thinks that's what "long term" means, and partially because you're the only one who is unwilling to accept that anything with probability <1 can be called "true." If you want to redefine language usage, fine, but don't expect anyone to think you're making any sense.

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But my whole idea of "the long run" is because in a person's lifetime they may get the short end of the stick in situations where they are favorites to win. Ex. AK vs. J10, obviously we all know percentage wise that the AK is a slight favorite and in "the long run" AK will win more times than the J10, but the J10 will still win also. But a certain person may witness the J10 win more in their lifetime than the AK due to bad luck. That's my whole point in saying that no one will be alive long enough to see the long run. Because the percentages will play out over every hand that is ever dealt, not a person's lifetime.
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