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Old 11-15-2007, 09:40 PM
Austiger Austiger is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Austin, TX
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Default Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===

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I only noticed today that while the line for first half NCAAB totals are usually less than 50 percent of that for the game total, the opposite seems to be true for NBA games.

Is there a non-statistical explanation for this? I mean, is intentional fouling by the trailing team in the 4Q less frequent in the pros?

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The shorter shot clock in the NBA makes it more appealing not to foul, for one thing. Paradoxically, NBA teams are better at milking the clock when they are ahead. They are better at creating a good shot at the end of the shot clock with a one-one move, so they don't have to worry about that. These are just my hunches.
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