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Old 11-15-2007, 08:04 PM
w_alloy w_alloy is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: back to school
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Default Re: 21.5 BB/100 over 25K hands. How crazy is this?

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I'd consider this except for it to be worth it the prop would have to be like $250k or possibly more and there isn't a chance in hell I can handle that swong if I lose.

Edit: So basically, my post is useless. This would never go down but it wouldn't surprise me if it wasn't possible for some people.

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Ya, bets like this have been proposed a lot on these forums but I've never seen them go down.

I would be willing to do it for a 15k hand sample size though. I realize variance would rule the day but people bet on coinflippish events all the time, and that doesn't mean noone has an edge. At least 15k hands has a chance of happening.

And to you high stakes players, you really aren't giving up THAT much. If you can play 15k hands in a week of 1/2 and average 10PTBB, that is $6,000 for a weeks work, before prop bets. With HS winrates as low as they are these days, you arent giving up much expectation. Add to that some thousands in prop bet EV (at least you think so!) and this isn't that bad a deal. I'm sure if someone commited to do this and made another thread you could get a lot more action too (hopefully on both sides).
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