Re: TOP2 river play?
Damn near four to one to call.
As played, I can't imagine he's folding to a push, even with TPTK. Still, even if he's got the flush 70% of the time, EV=.30*(36.36)+.70*(6.43)
EV=+$6.407 for the push. If he has less than an 85% chance of having the flush, the push is still +EV. Any more and it's negative.
EV for the call is: EV=0.3*(29.93)+0.7*(-6.25), EV=+$4.604 assuming the same percentages. Call if you think he's got the flush less than 82% of the time.
IMO, I push because TPTK might take this line too.
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