Re: NL50: Nuts on the turn,Board pairs on the river.
I like the flop call with the double gutshot and backdoor FD, but I'm shoving the turn here. Villain's got 40% of his stack in there and isn't getting away from very much. As played, I hate the river. There are a ton of full houses out there (7's/Q's, 9's/Q's, K's/Q's, Q's/K's) and If we call, we're hoping to see something like AQ (and not much else, aside from air). On the other hand, our hand is so underrepped that a hand like AQ could push this river. I hate folding here ,but are we good 30% of the time?
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