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Old 11-15-2007, 07:38 AM
matrix matrix is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: UK
Posts: 7,050
Default Re: PF-decision with JJ NL50

I fold this.

he's dumped over half his stack in preflop and the rest is going in on the flop - no matter what flops and before we get to act.

If you think you are ahead of AK push - but there are 18combos of QQ+ and only 16 combos of AK. I'd push AK here or QQ but I fold JJ.

If his range here IS QQ+/AK we are 35% to win overall

there is £19 in dead money - we risk £17 to possibly win £27 - not quite enough.

If he had 100bb a push is (just) +EV as he's slightly short it's not worth it.
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