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Old 11-15-2007, 05:14 AM
One Outer One Outer is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: in a transitional period
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Default Re: Who is betting against Hillary?

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Anyone got any action on the presidential race? I bet my friend $1000 giving 3 to 1 odds that Hillary will not be the next president of the US. +EV / -EV ? Thoughts?

-TheActionKid

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If I'm remembering my Freakonomics correctly, they stated that Female and Black candidates tended to poll 3-4% higher than they actually received at election. Even considering this she'll probably win.

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The nomination or the general? Because she's not as close to getting the nomination as she looks. Her Iowa numbers are Twinkie soft and the media appears to be turning on her.
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