Re: Is betting the river here a spew or value ?
* g *
Well, we sure aren't getting any better hands to fold on the river. We probably beat BTN here so there's value to get from him or not if he was on a draw.
BB could have slowplayed a 65 or peeled with JT (maybe T6) that got scared of the board pairing.
Really tricky T9 could also play like this. The river shutdown could also be with TT-JJ vary of overcards on the flop. Or 87 (and maybe 74). I don't think 55-66 would play this way.
Hero loses:
65/JT = 32 combos
T6 = 16 (discount)
(T9 or other 9x hands being fancy?)
Hero wins:
87 = 9
74 = 9 (discount)
TT = 6
JJ = 6
Hm.. I guess I still want to show my hand down. I check and overcall crying if BTN bets and BB calls (for pot size).
IMO based on your read we couldn't b/f if BTN raises and we end up HU vs him.
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