[Starfish]

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It was an approximation. The small changes due to the effect of hits is relatively trivial.

If you still doubt it, using the exact numbers in my above post ...

Conventional running the three times:

PA scoops 34*33*32/(44*43*42) = 35904/79464
PA wins twice 3*34*33*10/(44*43*42) = 33660/79464
JG wins twice 3*34*10*9/(44*43*42) = 9180/79464
JG scoops 10*9*8/(44*43*42) = 720/79464

PA's equity = 35904/79464 + (2/3)*33660/79464 + (1/3)*9180/79464 = 61404/79464 = 34/44 (77.3%)

Weird, probable misunderstanding of Elezra method, where PA scoops if he hits 2/3 and busts if he hits 1/3:

PA's equity = 35904/79464 + (3/3)*33660/79464 + (0/3)*9180/79464 = 69564/79464 = 38.52/44 (87.5%)

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Ah, we are talking about different things. I thought you were claiming that the overdog gets better equity when running thrice than his share should be when running once, and used incorrect analogy to prove that. (Using the method of running it each time for partion of the pot)

Obviously that Eli method favours the overdog.