Re: Bluff river raise against a TAG
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if you haven't done anything silly vs. him so far i think it's fine to do this. your bluff needs to work 2 times out of 9 so i think it's probably slightly +EV. but even if he calls and you lose, he will be more likely to pay you off in the future when you have a real hand and he will also be more likely to check the river against you out of position allowing you to value own him.
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Firstly our odds is 7.20:2. Secondly what hands would you bet/fold on river if you were him?
If I were villain I wouldnīt bet much at all.I think even a halfweak pair of aces are better of check/calling since there is a draw heavy board.And if we bet, only the most suspicious players calls our bet with a worse hand.So there isnīt much value in betting.
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