Re: Bluff river raise against a TAG
put villain on a range of hands. pretty sure all of his hands beat you, so break it up like
missed hands that beat me
pairs < A that beat me
pairs of aces that beat me
and figure out how many pairs < A that he needs to fold for this to be a profitable raise.
when putting his range together something that you need to consider is will villain bet this river with pairs less than an ace. this appears to be a good bluff spot because we can rep an ace pretty credibly but for that same reason many players will c/c a hand like JQ or 66, or they won't bet and fold to a raise. a good hand reader will know that you likely have a lot of draws in your range after the flop and turn as well as Ax hands
if villain can let go of ace high I think a flop or turn raise is in order
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