Re: King of the Hill
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200 > 167 what am I missing?
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Well, the EV for any given player actually depends on what picks they have left.
For example, if someone somehow still had 2 Patriots, Colts, Cowboys and Steelers picks left, they would have a better than average chance of winning the whole thing.
In this case, you also have to consider that if he has two entries left, he can use them to avoid getting knocked out with one big upset. He can use his second entry to stagger his NE picks in 2 different weeks.
I haven't done any real analysis, but I would buy the second entry. The guy has two Colts picks left, which is big, and you will be able to stagger the NE picks.
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