Re: 50NL: AKs - How do I get to valuetown?
b4 i can do any sort of ev calculations... i wanna check if this sounds reasonable... btw... it's all very crude...
villain plays 39% of his hands... agreed he'll probably play less than that from bb... but i dunno how much less, so i'll stick with 39%. fair?
i'll assume he calls with any piece of the flop... so 1/3 times he'll call our flop bet... but the board is draw heavy, so lets say he continues abt 1/2 the time. fair?
k... on turn, i'm gonna assume his range is a flush, set or bluff. i'm groupin str8s and 2prs and other weak-reasonable hands as a bluff... i dunno how much he's gonna bluff here... but i'll say he bluffs with 1/3 of his hands here...
sm1 pls tell me if these assumptions are ok
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