Re: 10/20 River Decision with Broadway
Surfdoc -- I guess my contention is that 3-bet/folding > 3-bet/calling >>> just calling the c/r EV-wise. I agree that his 4-bet range is almost always a flush. However, he has a flush so infrequently when we 3-bet and we're getting > 15 to 1 pot odds when he does 4-bet that 3-bet/calling is at most a -0.1BB mistake, whereas failing to 3-bet is at least a 0.7BB mistake.
Against the Villains I've played live at 10/20, we're behind more than 94% of the time on the river when he 4-bets, so a fold would be in order. However, as a matter of principle if I put a 3-bet in on the river in a big pot I'm committed to seeing a showdown -- perhaps this is a leak, but it can't be very big, can it?
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