View Single Post
  #5  
Old 11-12-2007, 02:42 PM
TJ Eckleburg12 TJ Eckleburg12 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Atlanta
Posts: 138
Default Re: 100NL 6max making play

I didn't read the results before posting.

I think that check-calling the turn would be by far your worst option.

Leading again on the turn would probably be "standard," folding to a large raise, and it's what I'd do most of the time. If he doesn't have a king or a set, then yes, it's a good play and he'll probably fold. The problem is, if he hit a set on the flop, or if he hit floated overcards, he's probably calling. You might have enough fold equity to make BAD kings fold the turn, but you might not.

Here's what I don't like about it. For a 23/14 coldcalling a preflop raise, we have to consider that small pocket pairs are a large part of his range. For the turn check-push, if we're right and he doesn't have a pair or better, then we're risking $90 to win $41.50 and we take it down. If we're WRONG, then we're on a 2 outer with one card to come.

When moving in on a play, I'd much rather have hands that have more outs.

Given your read, I guess it's fine, but I think you might be out-thinking yourself and you're probably better off just leading the turn.
Reply With Quote