Re: Question on Variance & judging your play
Even if you get it in as an 80% favorite every time - you will still get outdrawn 20% of the time. So if you are involved in 5 of these in a large turnament and all is for your life - you will statistical on average be out of the tournament.
Basically to reach the final table and to win a turnament you need to get some amount of luck. Just keep getting it in with the best hand and you will win the hand most times.
Remember even if you are twice as good as the players in the tournament you play and its 500 players in those turnemants you should only on average get to the final table once every 500 / 2 / 10 = 25th time you play the tournament.
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