Re: 1-2NL Hand At The Taj
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Villain is not going to be bluffing or calling with a worse hand often enough here to make this profitable.
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I'm aware he's never calling with a worse hand. The thing is: HE'S NOT CALLING a lot of the time. and the times he does, we have outs (hence why it's better to get it in on turn when your equity is at its peak). and those odds you make them sound bad but 350 to win 400 is like excellent and so standard it's not like ur shoving 1000 on over a pot of 200.
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He'll be getting odds of almost 4 to 1, and OP describes him as someone that calls too much so I'm pretty sure he's almost never folding here unless he's on a pure bluff. After the way the action has progressed I'd be pretty confident we're beat here more than half the time we make this play. The times we're beat and he calls and we suck out are probably balanced out with the times he's beat (he has a lower pair, or a straight draw) and he sucks out.
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