[JaredL]

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Cody is just as wrong as you are, if that makes you feel better.

that call maybe decreased the Colts win % by < 1 %.

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You are obv forgetting the fact that the Colts can copy and paste the 29 yd attempt into the 24 yd attempt and he would have made it.

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True or false, all other things equal, a 24-yarder is some % more likely to be made than a 29-yarder?

As a kicker, I know the answer to this, do you?

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Now demonstrate that that % is anything more than trivial.

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Edge, do you get the importance of this point? If the % went from like 95 to 93, how many points is that worth? Far less than 2. So its completely irrelevant.

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Are you serious?

Using expected points there is completely useless.

If it dropped from 95% to 93% then it would be worth probably 1.9% of a win which is what matters.