Re: Playing against a light 3 bettor
Board: 6c 4s Qh
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 09.678% 09.68% 00.00% 4599 0.00 { 8d8h }
Hand 1: 90.322% 90.32% 00.00% 42921 0.00 { QQ+, 66, 44, AQs, KQs, QJs, AQo, KQo }
EV if villain folds to shove=$89
If i shove, I have 9.68% to win
EV of shoving and being behind
EV=(9.68%)(416)+(90%)(-183)
EV=40.26-164
EV=-124$
Fold equity to make it neutral ev? Where x= fold equity%
0=x(89)+(1-x)(-$124)
0=89-124+124x
0=124x-35
35=124x
x=28%
So I need him to fold more than 28% of time to make this good. And I really think against his wide light 3betting range, this makes it really +EV
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