View Single Post
  #13  
Old 11-10-2007, 05:08 PM
rand rand is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: i ain\'t got my taco
Posts: 1,021
Default Re: Very strange 4-bet spot w/ 99 vs D_liciousUTB

[ QUOTE ]
Someone double check the math for me.
Villain folds:+358


Assuming you have 2 outs to win once he calls

1-[(47-2)/47 x (46-2)/46]=8.4% to win if he calls

Villain calls:EV=[(8.4%)x(814)]+[(91.6%)x(-814)]
EV= 68.37+ -745.62
EV= -677.25

Fold equity to make it neutral EV where fold equity =x
0=x(358)+(-677.25)(1-x)

0=358x-677.25+677.25x
0=1035x-677.25
677.25=1035x
x=65%

[/ QUOTE ]

looks good conceptually and i assume you can work a calculator...
Reply With Quote