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Old 11-10-2007, 05:02 PM
Barrin6 Barrin6 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: 100k hands 5ptbb+ nl1/2 b4 nl2/4
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Default Re: Very strange 4-bet spot w/ 99 vs D_liciousUTB

Someone double check the math for me.
Villain folds:+358


Assuming you have 2 outs to win once he calls

1-[(47-2)/47 x (46-2)/46]=8.4% to win if he calls

Villain calls:EV=[(8.4%)x(814)]+[(91.6%)x(-814)]
EV= 68.37+ -745.62
EV= -677.25

Fold equity to make it neutral EV where fold equity =x
0=x(358)+(-677.25)(1-x)

0=358x-677.25+677.25x
0=1035x-677.25
677.25=1035x
x=65%
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