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Old 11-10-2007, 07:09 AM
DougG DougG is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 203
Default Re: line check with AA OOP

[ QUOTE ]
the flop is closer than I thought it would be. based on these stove results a 3bet is a bad idea

Hand 0: 50.359% { AdAh }
Hand 1: 49.641% { KK, 99, AKs, AcQc, AcJc, AcTc, KQs, AKo, KQo }

[/ QUOTE ]

I think this range leaves out a lot of club hands: lots of people will play TT/JJ/QQ with a club like this through the flop. Some smaller pairs will raise the flop with a club. Some big Ax hands with one club might also.

Plus, 3 betting suited connectors preflop seems like the in thing to do, so that adds some more made flushes to his range.

So when you're ahead on the flop you still have a lot of outs to dodge and I think calling the raise is fine.

Given your read on this guy (ag and maybe spewy postflop), he'll bet the hands you're ahead of on the turn for you, so check call is fine.

I probably check call the river too, but that's mainly because I'm expert at donating money to LAGs. I think we're hoping that, in addition to AK/KQo, this guy could 3 barrel a non-club pair.
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