[joker122]

there are 18 combos* of KQ/AQ and 16 of KJ.

so 53% of the time we get an extra bet and a 47% of the time we lose an extra bet.

BUT he could fold to the raise...and we sometimes call the 3bet. in a situation where your equity is very slim (here, 53%) these 2 factors are actually pretty huge - especially since he should probably fold KQ to a raise alot of the time.

so this actually does swing it into a call i think.

*I didn't discount AQ because i personally would make it to the river here with AQ in a steal/defense situation and also because i completely took QJ out of his range to compensate a little.